——from a view of interdependence
By :Anarchy du


What’s the heated topics in China is the spreading of economic crisis internal and the spliting of Sino-France relationship external.The world comes to the time that the domestic affairs and foreign affairs not being separated as it been in hundreds years before but deeply interacted due to the globlization expanding and deepgoing in a precedented speed.Not only the relationship of internal and external affairs,but also the relationship between nations,which has being interacted for a long time,that stated the interdependence has dominanted the world.At the begining of Sarkoz announced to meet up DalaoLamo in Poland this month , millions of chinese from large streets and small lanes to internet discussed the topic heatly ,while chinese opposition included the government’s and the masses’ wave to the west of the continent ,the Franch raise the topic in a similar height . One will be confused if he/she compared the firy-hot well Sino-France relationship in Jacques.Chirac’s time to today.
So,why Sino-France relationship sink into marsh?In this paper ,I’ll give a analysis of it from a view of interdependence .
Robert O.Keohane and Joseph S.Nye think that interdependence means the state of being greatly influenced by external power.Interdependence has its own character ,beside the difference of degree ,it can be symmetrical and asymmetrical ,which decided by the actors sensibility and frangibility to the outsiders.The sensibility means nation’s capability to the external influence,while the frangibility means the nation’s strian force .whose two are the basic character of interdependence.
First,the area of Sino-France’s interdependence is narrow .In geopolitical view ,Sino and France has the lower degree of interdependence spontaneously ,what’s more ,EU’s hesitation in removing the military sanction to PRC after 1989 has deeply depressed China .Yet,comparing the cooperate time to fight the Soviet Union in coldwar ,and the time to oppose the monopole in neo-coldwar . Sarkozy’s Americanphile policy disoluted the cooperation basis and only left the interdependence exsisted in economic eara in a sense .So,the interdependence of Sino-France is really narrow in the means of area.Worse still ,such mono economic interdependence is easy to leads the “zero-sum game” in which one gains means another losse .However,in case the interdependence area is broad enough ,may the “non-zero-sum game” appears in which one losses in this area can gains in other area.The conflict usually happen in “zero-sum” game ,especially during in such a crisis which is similar with now.The long exsisted pungent trade and rate problem between China and France getting serious after this term globle-wide econonic crisis duo to the monetary crisis oringe in US,because China got a protifle state as the net outflow in Sino-France trade .Referencing France customs statics ,,France has imported 28,426,088,000 euro goods from China in 2007 comparing barely exported 9,083,109,000euro goods to China .Even nowadays the EU becoming the largest trade partner of China while China be the largest trade partner except the US in the world ,though France still can not expand it’s market proportion because of the fierceful competetion among the developed country.
Second , the interdependence of Sino-France is asymmetrical.China is more sensitive in politics and more frangile in both economy and politics , however , France is less sensitive in politic and more sensitive in economy while less frangile in economy.France has a stronger dependence on China duo to the France is a capital and tachnology abundant country while the developed country market is saturated .Neverthless,a character of this Sino-France relationship deteriorating is the high politics mix with the low politics . Sarkoz use the political strategy,which is to meet with DalaoLamo and to incite the Tibe question , while that is high politics and is the tough corn national interet of China ,to gain the low political economical interet from China .He make a pipe dream that China will give in and concess in trade 、rate、and cooperate with EU in monetary system reform ,against his hope ,China react in a unexpected fierceful way in spite of it’s economy interest ,more over ,it carry out economic sanction to France. All of the above prood that China is very sensitive in politics,which is a reason of the conflict. Now ,China start to change its economy structure from export-led industrial structure to demestic-demand-led industrial structure and to lower its denpendence on the external market including the French and the EU’s,that will weaking Chinese frangility along with the determination of Chinese leaders.Though it needs to face the fact that China still a high export-led industrial structure.Meanwhile,France is more dependent on China ,excepting the 56.7 billion USD contract on airplane 、nuclear power 、subway signed in 2007 when Sarkoz paid a vist to China ,French proportion in China market still low while the long exsist import surplus extended monthly, that made France a more free state at least in perface but is not in fact, because Franch high technology product needs the Chinese huge ande growing market especilly in the crisis .So we see that China give a tough reaction to Sarkozy’s provokcation which is a bright comparation to that monthes ago.
In general,Rome is not biult in one day.Because the narrow interdependence area ,which is tensively in ambivalent economical area ,though it looks like China is more dependent on France but the fact is the other way around.So China choose a counterattact policy .Of course interdependence also means that both sides will losse if they choose noncooperation and we need to point that its France and acurately is Sarkoz needs to take all the responsibility . Therefore , both China and France get hurt from this crisis and it can be predict that the Sino-France relationship will suffer a icy-time ,but we hope that we can get ride of which as soon as possible ,when will be the spring of Sino-France relationship.